28 November 2008

We Can't Have Our Earth And Eat It Too!

If every fertile woman in the world was limited to one child...and it somehow began tomorrow, our current 6.5 billion human population would drop by 1 billion by the middle of this century. (If we continue as projected, it will reach 9 billion.) At that point, keeping to one-child-per-human-mother, life on Earth for all species would change dramatically. Because of natural attrition, today’s bloated human population bubble would not be reinflated at anything near the former pace. By 2075, we would have reduced our presence by almost half, down to 3.43 billion, and our impact by much more, because so much of what we do is magnified by chain reactions we set off through the ecosystem. By 2100, less that a century from now, we would be at 1.6 billion: back to levels last seen in the 19th century, just before quantum advances in energy, medicine, and food production doubled our numbers and then doubled us again. At the time, those discoveries seemed like miracles. Today, like too much of any good thing, we indulge in more only at our peril. At such far-more-manageable numbers, however, we would have the benefit of all our progress plus the wisdom to keep our presence under control. That wisdom would come partly from losses and extinctions too late to reverse, but also from the growing joy of watching the world daily become more wonderful. The evidence wouldn’t hide in statistics. It would be outside every human’s window, where refreshed air would fill each season with more birdsong. ~Alan Weisman, "The World Without Us"

4 comments:

Tracy Bruring said...

Do you believe at the back of the human mind, is the possibility that there is survival in numbers? That if we keep our population at a reasonable sane number, at any moment a plague could outbreak and w/out the numbers uphold us that pandemic would come close to wiping us out?

I have wondered why human intelligence in Africa continues to produce children in the condition that they are in and continue to produce them in large numbers only to watch them starve or die in the violence there. I have wondered if that is not thier mindset...survival in numbers.

lostinthewoods said...

Q: Will new viruses, wars, famine, and toxic waste help the cause of human extinction?

No. Epidemics actually strengthen a species if enough of them are living to have an adequate survival rate. With over six billion of us, there is no virus that could get us all. A 99.99% die off would still leave 650,000 naturally-immune survivors to replicate, and in less than 50,000 years we could be right back where we are now. For any disease to simply hold the human population where it is, more than 200,000 of us would have to succumb to it each day. Suffering and death cannot help but hurt.

Millions have died in wars and yet the human family continues to increase. Most of the time, wars encourage both the winners and losers to re-populate. When troops were called up for the Gulf Massacre, sperm banks were taking deposits hand over fist. The net result of war is usually an increase rather than a decrease in total population size.

Tracy Bruring said...

It would be hard as a woman to make the decision not to have children. I imagine you have had other women describe to you the deep yearning to become pregnant and have children. Maybe some women do not have this but I did. But still as bad as the world is now, I am sure the few who are making that decision feel as if they are denying themselves in vain because there are so many who won't.

lostinthewoods said...

The world could be so much better if we could understand that it isn't what springs from our loins which completes us...but our connections to other two leggeds, four leggeds, the winged, the crawlies...and the swimmers...

Having one child per fertile woman would give us all plenty of children, as a community, to love and heap praise upon.

As I sit staring out of the window in the woods, birds flutter by...Veterans' Day 2023

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